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S&P 500 OPENS 1.7% HIGHER, NASDAQ GAINS 2.3%
*APPLE +2%
*NVIDIA +4%
*COINBASE +6%
*MICROSTRATEGY +6%
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*US JOBLESS CLAIMS 219K IN SEPT. 14 WEEK; EST. 230K
*US CONTINUING CLAIMS 1.829M IN SEPT. 7 WEEK; EST. 1.854M
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POWELL: IF ECONOMY REMAINS SOLID, WE CAN DIAL BACK PACE OF CUTS; EQUALLY IF LABOR MARKET DETERIORATES WE CAN RESPOND
POWELL: NO ONE SHOULD LOOK AT 50BP CUT AND SAY THIS IS NEW PACE
POWELL: OWN SENSE IS WE'RE NOT GOING BACK TO LOW NEUTRAL RATE
POWELL: 'NO, WE'RE NOT' DECLARING VICTORY ON INFLATION
POWELL: FED WANTS TO SEE INFLATION CLOSE TO 2% FOR SOME TIME
From WSJ's Nick: It’s definitely a series of cuts, albeit a "recalibration," ahead: “We have in fact begun the cutting cycle now.” — The larger cut was mostly about risk management: “We don’t think we’re behind…. You can take this as a sign of our commitment not to get behind.” — The slowdown in the labor market “bears watching, and we’re watching.” — One note that wasn't unabashedly dovish: "It feels to me the neutral rate is probably significantly higher than it was back" before the pandemic, when it looked like the real neutral rate might be negative.
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*FED PROJECTIONS IMPLY 50 BPS OF ADDITIONAL RATE CUTS IN 2024 FROM CURRENT LEVEL, 100 BPS MORE IN 2025, ANOTHER 50 BPS IN 2026
*FED POLICYMAKERS SEE 4.4% UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AT END OF 2024 AND 2025 VERSUS 4.2% NOW
*FED POLICYMAKERS SEE 2.0% GDP GROWTH IN 2024 VERSUS 2.1% IN JUNE
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