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🇪🇸 La Liga 🇪🇸 Thursday 18:00 GMT/19:00 CET/13:00 EST Leganes vs Athletic Bilbao Dani Raba 1+ Shot on Goal (1 point at odds of 2.00) Gorka Guruzeta to Score or Assist (1 point at odds of 2.80) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg Over in Spain, Leganes, newly promoted to the first division, take on Athletic Club. Two player bets, one from each team, seem appealing in the early Mega Dice betting: Dani Raba 1+ Shot on Goal and Guruzeta to Score or Assist. Starting with Raba. In 1.5 90-minute appearances for Leganes this season, Raba has had three attempts, one on goal. In 23.9 90-minutes last season, he had 65 total attempts, 24 on target, and scored eight, averaging 2.71 shots and 1.00 shot on target per 90 minutes. He’s found his feet again, after a little time out from competitive games between 2020-2022; since then, he’s been playing more regularly, and getting more shots away. Moving onto Guruzeta, who has assisted one goal so far this season. Last season, he grabbed 19 goals and assists in 24.6 90-minute appearances for Athletic Club. this averages at 0.77 goals and assists per 90 minutes, in other words, three in every four games. By this logic, another direct goal contribution is on its way. Plus, Gorka has been pretty consistent since the 2021/22 season, with an average of at least 0.44 goals and assists per 90 minutes each season.
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🇪🇺 Champions League 🇪🇺 Thursday 17:45 GMT/18:45 CET/12:45 EST Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Bruno Duarte to Score or Assist (1 point at odds of 3.00) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg Newly signed Bruno Duarte stands to be a good option to Score or Assist for Belgrade in their first Champions League fixture against Benfica. Red Star have been top-notch this season, scoring in all of their fixtures to date, with a total of 24 goals scored in nine games to date. Duarte has been a big addition to their squad, already grabbing seven goals and assists in 4.5 90-minute appearances for Red Star, including one in their CL qualifier. Bruno Duarte tends to make an impact off the bench, with three goals and one assist occurring later in the game. So, if he doesn’t start against Benfica, do not rule him out completely. Last season for Farense, the Brazilian produced 16 goals and assists in 25.1 90-minute appearances, including against top-ranking teams alike to Benfica, such as Porto, Vitoria and Braga. On this basis, he was averaging 0.64 goals and assists per 90 minutes, which is pretty good. Sure, Benfica are big favourites for this game, but it won’t be too easy for them, being on the road to a good Red Star side. Belgrade has the ability to produce some good chances here, plus, Benfica have conceded four goals in five matches so far. Given all of our data, we believe odds of 3.00 at Mega Dice to be very much in the realms of generous. Such odds should thus be taken by those seeking value.
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🇪🇺 Champions League 🇪🇺 Wednesday 20:00 GMT/21:00 CET/15:00 EST Manchester City vs Internacionale Marcus Thuram 1+ Shot on Target (1 point at odds of 1.88) Hakan Calhanoglu 1+ Shot on Target (1 point at odds of 3.50) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg In the Champions League this Wednesday, as Internazionale travel to England to take on Manchester City, Marcus Thuram and Calhanoglu both to have 1+ Shot on Goal rate as very appealing bets. Thuram had 95 shots, 34 on target, and scored 15 in 37.2 90-minute appearances in all competitions last season, including nine shots and one goal in the Champions League. This averages at 2.56 shots, 0.92 on target, per 90 minutes. He hit the target in big games too, against top-ranking Serie A teams like AC Milan and Juventus, and Real Madrid in the CL. Moreover, the Frenchman has come out pretty strong this season, with 12 shots, seven on goal and four goals in 3.5 90 minutes in Serie A. Moving onto Calhanoglu. Like Thuram, he has already claimed one goal this season from the penalty spot, with two shots in total. Last season, he produced 69 shots, 18 on target, in 35.9 90-minute appearances in all competitions. Per 90 minutes, he was averaging 1.92 shots and 0.50 on target, basically once every two games, which isn’t bad for the midfielder. In the CL, he made 11 attempts. Sure, Manchester City typically hold most of the possession in their games, but we believe this game will be one for their opponents to break against them. And we’ve seen more recently how they can make little mistakes, conceding three goals already despite their low xGA averages (two against lower-ranking sides Ipswich and Brentford). Ultimately, we have modelled fair odds of 1.72 and 2.43 for the bets above, thus we believe the odds available should be much shorter than they currently are at Mega Dice. Take the value.
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🇪🇸 La Liga 🇪🇸 Wednesday 18:00 GMT/19:00 CET/13:00 EST Betis vs Getafe Djene to be Carded (1 point at odds of 2.50) Odds from Mega Dice. This Wednesday in La Liga, Betis and Getafe go head-to-head. In the betting, Djene to be Carded seems like a good bet at early Mega Dice odds. Djene has always been a troublesome player in terms of cards; receiving nine or more in most seasons since 2014. Last season, he committed 51 fouls and received 14 yellows and one red in 27.6 90-minute appearances in La Liga alone. This averages at 0.54 cards per 90 minutes, so he was getting booked once every other game, which is really poor. Most of these bookings were against mid-ranking teams and higher, including Valencia twice, Betis once and Athletic Club. So far this season, he’s committed two fouls and received one yellow in four games, so on the principle of last season, he should be receiving one very soon. This is just the sort of game, against a dominant team, where Djene is likely to commit several fouls, so do not be surprised for a second if the man who once received 17 yellows in a single season gets himself in trouble.
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🇪🇺 Champions League 🇪🇺 Tuesday 20:00 GMT/21:00 CET/15:00 EST Sporting vs Lille Viktor Gyokeres to Score (1 point at odds of 2.20) Daniel Braganca 1+ Shot on Goal (1 point at odds of 2.25) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg It’s the start of the Champions League today, and Sporting Lisbon take on Lille in the first round. At early Mega Dice odds, Gyokeres to Score and Braganca 1+ Shot on Goal offer fantastic value. Gyokeres is a deadly player in front of goal; the fact that he’s already put away eight goals in five games is telling enough. Last season for Sporting, he scored 34 goals in 39.3 90-minutes played in all competitions, averaging at 0.87 goals per 90 minutes, which is impressive. This isn’t just a fluke either, in most seasons he scores a lot of goals for his team, including three already in the Nations League for Sweden, and 22 goals for Coventry in the 2022/23 season, but last season was his best by far. Moving onto Braganca. Already this season, he has produced seven shots, three on goal, and scoring one in 3.0 90-minutes played, implying he’s getting into the right positions and is willing to shoot. Last season in all competitions, Daniel Braganca had 27 shots, 10 on target, in 16.9 90-minute appearances. This averages at 1.60 shots and 0.59 shots on target per 90 minutes for Real Sociedad.
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🇪🇸 La Liga 🇪🇸 Tuesday 18:00 GMT/19:00 CET/13:00 EST Mallorca vs Real Sociedad Brais Mendez 1+ Shot on Goal (1 point at odds of 2.00) Jon Pacheco to be Carded (1 point at odds of 3.75) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg In La Liga tonight, Mallorca take on Real Sociedad. Two players for the visiting team seem to be great value bets: Brais Mendez 1+ Shot on Goal and Jon Pacheco to be Carded. Brais Mendez has had a solid start for Real sociedad, creating six shots, two on target, and scoring one in 2.9 90 minutes so far. Last season, he had a total of 66 attempts, 15 on goal (five scored), in 26.8 90-minute La Liga appearances. This averages at 2.46 shots, and 0.56 shots on target, per 90 minutes. But he’s already performing well, which seems promising for the matches ahead. Additionally, Pacheco seems to be a rash player for Real Socieded, having already committed eight fouls and received two yellows in four starts. Last season in La Liga, he received eight yellows from 29 fouls in 17.0 90-minute appearances. This averages at 0.47 cards per 90 minutes, which is really poor. Plus, in all competitions, he conceded 31 fouls and received 10 bookings in 20.5 90-minutes played. This averages at 0.49 cards per 90 minutes, meaning he was receiving one once every two games. Moreover, the fact that he has received cards from not so many fouls suggests he’s a pretty reckless player.
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🇦🇷 Liga Profesional 🇦🇷 Tuesday 01:00 GMT/02:00 CET/20:00 EST Ind. Rivadavia vs Defensa y Justicia Ind. Rivadavia to Win @ 2.24 Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg In the early hours of Tuesday morning in the Argentine Liga Profesional, Independiente Rivadavia hosts Defensa y Justicia. In the betting, Ind. Rivadavia to Win is a good value bet. Primarily, the visitors have lost both of their two away games against teams ranked between 16th and 28th, having failed to score a goal but conceding an average of 1.50 goals per game. Defensa y Justicia have lost three away games in a row now. Ind. Rivadavia have won four games this season, two at home, gaining an average of 1.33 PPG at home, which doesn’t seem too high, but is significantly better than Defensa y Justicia’s 0.29 points per away game. With all necessary data, we have goal expectancies of 1.03 and 0.58, which implies the hosts have an edge here. This translates into fair odds of 2.10, so you can have good value for money by taking the odds of 2.24 at Mega Dice.
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🇪🇸 La Liga 🇪🇸 Monday 20:00 GMT/21:00 CET/15:00 EST Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Jorge De Frutos 1+ Shot on Goal (1 point at odds of 1.80) Ruben Garcia 1+ Shot on Goal (1 point at odds of 1.70) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg Over in Spain, Rayo Vallecano return home for the second time this season, hosting Osasuna for their second game on the road. Both De Frutos and Ruben Garcia to have 1+ Shot on Goal seem particularly appealing ahead of this game. De Frutos, with already one shot on goal and scoring one, has had a decent start to the season for Rayo Vallecano. Last season, the Spaniard produced 29 shots, 11 on goal, in 17.2 90-minute appearances. This averages at 1.68 shots and 0.64 shots on target per 90-minutes, a little more often than once every other game. The fact that he’s already had a shot on target, and scored, is promising that there’s more to come. With six shots, half on target, and scoring one, Garcia has had an even stronger beginning to the season for Osasuna. He’s produced a shot on goal in all but one of their games so far - against Girona, where, as a team, Osasuna struggled. However, all three teams are more similar to Rayo Vallecano, which is hopeful. Last season, Garcia had 28 shots, 10 on goal in 17.2 90-minutes La Liga appearances; this averages at 1.63 shots and 0.58 shots on target per 90 minutes.
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🇮🇹 Serie A 🇮🇹 Monday 17:30 GMT/18:30 CET/12:30 EST Parma vs Udinese Brenner to Score or Assist (1 point at odds of 3.00) Sandi Lovric 1+ Shot on Goal (1 point at odds of 2.00) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg A great start to the season for Udinese, having not lost a game in four fixtures this season. This Monday, they travel to newly-promoted Parma. In the betting two player bets offer great value: Brenner to Score or Assist and Sandi Lovric 1+ Shot on Goal. Brenner has had a strong start for Udinese, with one goal and one assist in three games. The last time he was playing regularly at a club, the 2022 season at Cincinnati, the Brazilian contributed 24 goals and assists 22.8 90-minute appearances, averaging at 1.05 goals and assists per 90-minutes, which shows us how deadly he can be in front of goal. Moving onto Lovric. Last season, the midfielder had 43 shots, 12 hitting the target, in 22.1 90-minute appearances. Per 90-minutes, he was producing 1.95 shots and 0.54 shots on target, basically once every two games, which is good. Plus, more than half of these were in away games, and against teams of all ranks, some lower such as Sassuolo and some higher such as Juventus. The season prior was even better, with 71 shots and 18 shots on target in 25.9 90-minute appearances for Udinese.
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🇧🇷 Serie A 🇧🇷 Sunday 20:00 GMT/21:00 CET/15:00 EST Juventude vs Fluminese Juventude (0) Handicap (1 point at odds of 1.99) Odds from Mega Dice. Bet Here - https://t.me/megadicecasinobot?start=sbs-tg In the Brazilian Serie A this Sunday, Juventude are at home to Fluminese. Ahead of this game, Juventude (0) Handicap seems like a great option. The hosts haven’t been in amazing form of late, but they have won three of their last four at home, while they’ve also lost just one of their six home games this season against teams currently ranked in the bottom half, which bodes well given Fluminense’s current position. In their respective home and away games against relevant teams, neither side is giving much away, though it is the hosts who are producing more in the final third, which is the real catalyst here. The visitors have scored an average of just 0.60 goals per 90 minutes away against current bottom-half teams, while the hosts have scored a much better average of 1.50 goals per game against other bottom-half opponents at home. The hosts also come out favourably in terms of xG too, so we really shouldn’t be surprised if they get the job done here. Using all relevant data, we’ve modelled fair odds of 1.63 for this bet, so taking odds of 1.99 is well worth doing.
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